Monday, 22 October, 2018

Tropical development likely in the Gulf over the next few days

National Hurricane Center monitoring weather system in the Caribbean Sea Tropical wave could affect western Caribbean
Kristen Harrington | 06 October, 2018, 19:43

"Regardless of tropical cyclone formation, this disturbance will continue to bring torrential rains to portions of Central America, the Yucatan peninsula, and western Cuba into next week".

If sustained winds reach 39 miles per hour, the next name on the list of tropical storms is Michael.

The system, now located near the northeastern coasts of Nicaragua and Honduras, was forecast by the USA -based National Hurricane Center at a 40 percent chance of tropical formation by Tuesday.

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Forecasters are 90 percent confident the system will upgrade into a cyclone in the next five days, likely forming in the northwestern Caribbean Sea or the southern Gulf of Mexico. Leslie is now located about 455 miles east of Bermuda.

In the central Atlantic, Hurricane Leslie was moving toward the north at an increased speed of 8 miles per hour early Thursday morning.

"Large swells generated by Leslie are expected to continue during the next few days across the southeastern coast of the United States, Bermuda, the Bahamas, and the Greater and Lesser Antilles", the hurricane center said. Surf conditions and rip currents caused by the hurricane could become life-threatening.

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The next storm to form will be named Michael. However, temperatures will remain well above October averages over the next several days with highs remaining well into the 80s around the piedmont and in the 70s for the mountains.

During the 2018 hurricane season, Hurricane Florence was the only hurricane labeled a Category 3 or higher.

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